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Multiple research institutions lower their expectations for German economic growth

发布日期:2025-12-15 09:23:10浏览次数:30

  Berlin, December 11 (Xinhua) -- Several important economic research institutions in Germany released winter forecast reports on the 11th, showing that due to factors such as a significant decline in exports to the United States, the German economy is expected to grow by only 0.1% in 2025, which is once again lower than the autumn forecast of 0.2% growth.

  The report generally believes that the imposition of tariffs by the United States has put significant pressure on Germany's exports to the United States, and the lower than expected stimulus effect of fiscal measures such as the large-scale infrastructure fund announced by Germany in the middle of the year has become the main reason for the downward adjustment of expectations. The Kiel Institute for World Economy Research stated that due to trade disputes caused by tariffs and the weakening of Germany's own competitiveness, it is expected that Germany's exports will decline by 0.2% in 2025, with a particularly prominent decline in exports to the United States.

  The Munich Economic Research Institute stated that the continued widespread imposition of tariffs by the United States is putting pressure on the global economy and trade, while the German economy is also undergoing profound structural changes. The agency reported that it expects the German economy to grow by 0.8% and 1.1% in 2026 and 2027, respectively, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from previous forecasts.

  The institutions that released the forecast this time include the Munich Institute for Economic Research, the Kiel Institute for World Economic Research, the Halle Institute for Economic Research, and the Leibniz Institute for Economic Research. Since the beginning of this year, these institutions have repeatedly lowered their expectations for Germany's economic growth in 2025 due to the significant increase in tariffs imposed by the United States.




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